BROZUS Lars, « Unexpected, Unforeseen, Unplanned: Scenarios of International Foreign and Security Policy. Foresight Contributions 2015 », SWP, Research Paper, janvier 2016, 56 p.
Based on a review by Corinne Roëls
This report, which is the third foresight-related publication by the Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP, which describes itself ‘a German Institute for International and Security Affairs’), is on the subject of ‘grey swans’.
Grey swans are the cousins of the black swans, those unpredictable events which seemed highly improbable and yet prove...
