Véronique Lamblin examines here how the World Bank arrives at its long-term forecasts. She first describes the variables selected (working population, rates of savings and investment, productivity), then outlines the Bank’s economic outlooks for each major region of the world from now until 2015, although she stresses that these involve a high level of uncertainty.
Les perspectives économiques de la Banque mondiale
This article is published in Futuribles journal no.289, septembre 2003
