Journal

Scenario Building: The 2x2 Matrix Technique

This collective scenario generation technique pairs the two drivers of the highest importance and the greatest uncertainty for the topic under study as axes creating a 2×2 matrix which forms the basis for possible scenarios.

The 2×2 matrix approach is often used for testing medium- to long-term policy because it ensures that policy direction is robust within a range of environments. Group diversity, flexibility, and rapidity are other hallmarks of this technique.